November 16, 2024 Stocks Directions Comments(330)

The Dual Carbon Strategy Inspires Green Productivity

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In the contemporary era, the "dual carbon" strategy has emerged as a pivotal force, ushering in a new era characterized by green and low-carbon productivity. It accelerates a fresh wave of industrial revolution while promoting transformative shifts in the economic and social landscape towards sustainability. By the end of 2023, China has accounted for over half of the world's new installed capacity in renewable energy generation, production and sales of electric vehicles, and heat pumps. This impressive statistic signifies the rapid emergence of new green and low-carbon economic growth points, which are essential for navigating global climate challenges.

Looking towards the future, it is evident that an energy transformation directed at enhancing efficiency and cleanliness is well underway. The reliance on traditional energy sources such as coal and oil is set to undergo disruptive changes, as the electrification of end-use energy and the decarbonization of the power generation mix are accelerated. This shift towards improved energy efficiency across various sectors and industries will give rise to numerous new industries, pathways, and dynamics. This evolving landscape will inevitably have significant and far-reaching implications for future technology, industrial formats, employment directions, and investment avenues.

The "dual carbon" strategy is instigating a new form of productivity that can be categorized into four main aspects. Firstly, the transformation of energy dynamics is fundamentally altering how productivity is realized. Historically, many significant industrial revolutions have stemmed from advances in energy technology, such as the steam engine and the advent of electricity. The current "dual carbon" strategy is leading to a reduction in the share of coal-based power, while renewable sources like wind, solar, hydropower, nuclear, and biomass are rapidly expanding as "zero carbon" options. This transformation is not just theoretical; it is manifesting in the development of new technologies within both the energy supply and consumption sectors. For instance, electric vehicles are now widely replacing their fossil-fuel counterparts, while processes like molten reduction and hydrogen smelting are substituting traditional steelmaking methods. In the residential sector, heat pumps are superseding coal and gas for heating purposes, thereby facilitating the transition towards zero-carbon industries, including paper, textiles, and alcoholic beverages.

Secondly, the pressing needs for energy conservation and cost reduction are driving technological iterations that bring about new forms of productivity. Enhanced energy efficiency and lowered costs serve as enduring catalysts for ongoing economic and social advancement. The hallmark of this new productive capacity is marked by a significant increase in total factor productivity, with energy utilization efficiency being a critical measure of green productivity. Take, for example, China's green lighting industry, which has evolved from incandescent lamps to energy-saving bulbs, and currently LED lighting, all while increasingly adopting low color temperature technologies. Each upgrade's central motive has been achieving better energy efficiency and reduced costs. Similarly, the iron and steel, chemical, and nonferrous metal industries are seeing declining energy consumption per unit of output primarily due to innovations in energy conservation---including the efficient use of waste heat and energy, and catalysis innovation.

On the other hand, these innovations not only improve existing industries but also spur the growth of burgeoning sectors. Efforts to reduce electricity usage in electric vehicles, decrease energy consumption in silicon production, and enhance energy efficiency in data centers are all pivotal factors driving the rapid green transformation of industries such as electric vehicles, photovoltaics, and big data.

Lastly, innovations in negative carbon technologies are fostering a new qualitative productivity. Achieving carbon neutrality requires more than just harnessing renewable energy and enhancing energy efficiency to mitigate carbon emissions; it also encompasses the implementation of carbon capture and utilization technologies. These technologies are designed to offset the carbon dioxide emissions that cannot be avoided. Examples include advancements in carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies, as well as the development of ecological carbon sinks associated with forestry, agriculture, and marine environments. The emergence of these innovations harbors the potential to fundamentally reshape industry structures, leading to the inception of greener and low-carbon productivity.

Under the impetus of the "dual carbon" strategy, green productivity can serve as a catalyst for the development of upstream and downstream industrial chains, resulting in breakthroughs in new materials and essential components. Preliminary estimates suggest that by 2060, the energy supply sector will manifest into an investment market surpassing the one trillion yuan mark, while the demand for green investments from various industries could reach several trillion yuan. Over the next three to four decades, the "dual carbon" strategy is poised to trigger a substantial green investment market, fortifying economic growth and catalyzing a transition towards sustainability.

Given this context, it is crucial to leverage the guiding role of the "dual carbon" strategy to cultivate a thriving "green engine" that fosters high-quality development. It necessitates the establishment of a market-oriented innovation system for green low-carbon technologies, intensifying efforts to tackle core technological challenges in energy saving and carbon reduction, and promoting advanced green technologies through demonstrative actions. Additionally, it is pertinent to refine the systemic mechanisms that support the growth of green productivity, including enhancing fiscal, financial, investment, and pricing policies, advancing science and technology reforms, and creating a favorable institutional environment conducive to green development.

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